The choice of the Khofifa-Emil duo over Risma-Gus Hans and Luluk-Lukmon is the winner.

Jakarta, VIVA – Indonesia’s Poltrekking Institute has released its findings on the 2024 East Java gubernatorial election contest. According to the results of Poltreking’s survey, the Khofifa Indar Pravansa-Emil Dardak selection is superior to their two rival pairs.

According to the results of the Poltreking poll, Hofia-Emil was elected by 57.3 percent. After that, the pair of Tri Rismaharini-Zahrul Azhar alias Gus Hans has 22.7 percent. Also, the pair Luluk Nur Hamida and Luqmanul Hakim won 2.2 percent.

Another finding in terms of performance in the individual simulation was that Khofifa achieved a selection rate of 55.3 percent. Next was Tri Rismaharini with 22.8 percent and Luluk Nur Hamida with 1.8 percent.

At the same time, Emil Dardak won the elections with 51.7 percent, Zahrul Azhar with 9.9 percent and Luqmanul Hakim with 3.2 percent.

Adib Miftahul, a political observer at the National Institute for Political Research (KPN), predicts that Khofifa’s tendency to be elected is likely to increase. He predicts that the former Indonesian Minister of Social Affairs’s vote will not stop at 55 percent and will continue to grow.

“I think Hofifa is likely to go higher,” Adib said on Thursday, September 19, 2024.

Adib has estimated that there are at least several factors that have raised Khafiya’s level of acceptance in society to this level. Firstly, Khofifa is popular as a current gubernatorial candidate.
Hofifa is considered to be much more popular than his two competitors. As the president of NU Muslima, Hafifa also has a strong public base in East Java.

In addition, the support factor for the coalition axis, which is made up of many political parties, is also another supporting factor.

“Hofifa also had the support of many party apparatuses. Therefore, my analysis is that the results of the presidential elections are compatible with the results of the regional elections, because the composition of the political map has not changed much,” he explained.

Meanwhile, Poltracking Indonesia also outlined in its publication the growing reasons for the election of Khofifa-Emil. People’s satisfaction with Khofifa-Emil’s performance during her term as Governor and Deputy Governor of East Java in 2019-2024 reached 87.3 percent.

In survey research, Poltrekking uses a multi-stage random sampling method. Field data collection will take place from 4 to 10 September 2024.

The survey sample was 1,200 people with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent. Meanwhile, the confidence level is 95%.

Meanwhile, the Poltrekking survey group will reach 38 districts/cities in East Java respectively based on the 2024 Permanent Voters List (DPT) data.